This Week in Crypto (March 25–31, 2025): Key Events and Market Moves
🔹 Bitcoin’s RSI Signals Hint at Bullish Breakout
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) breakout is underway.
- Bitcoin’s RSI has broken a 4-month downtrend on the weekly chart and is showing strong signs of bullish divergence across multiple timeframes.
- Traders see this as a classic early bull market signal, suggesting further upside could be imminent.
- The RSI pattern is reminiscent of past cycles where Bitcoin staged major rallies shortly after similar setups, including the 2020 breakout.
“The weekly RSI is breaking above a trendline that has held since November 2024,” notes technical analyst Keith Alan. “This could be the beginning of a significant uptrend.”
🔹First 6-Month RSI Breakout Since 2020 Precedes Possible $85K Move
- Bitcoin is in position for its first 6-month RSI breakout since the 2020 bull run.
- A successful breakout historically leads to massive price moves, with analysts eyeing a potential climb to $85,000 if momentum holds.
- BTC/USD is currently consolidating above $67,000, building strength.
Historical data from 2017 and 2020 shows RSI breakouts of this nature typically lead to triple-digit percentage gains over the following months.
🔹March 28: Key Macro Trigger — US PCE Index Report
- March 28 is a critical date for traders: the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for February will be released.
- PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, and this index will heavily influence interest rate expectations going forward.
- A softer-than-expected reading could boost risk assets, including Bitcoin, while a hot inflation print may cause downward pressure.
Analysts suggest that dovish signals from the Fed, especially if inflation is cooling, could propel BTC into its next major leg up.
🔹 ETF Inflows and Institutional Demand Support Price
- Bitcoin spot ETFs continue to see strong inflows, adding to bullish momentum.
- BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has been a standout, consistently leading in daily inflow figures.
- This institutional demand is helping keep sell-side pressure in check, even as BTC hovers near local highs.
Bullish Signals Are Here — There’s Never Been a Better Time to Buy
With RSI breakouts flashing across key timeframes, institutional inflows rising, and major macro events aligning in Bitcoin’s favor, the stage is set for potential upside.
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