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January 17, 2024

Bitcoin 2024 Price Prediction: What Will Happen Next Bitcoin Halving?

January 17, 2024

With the next Bitcoin halving scheduled to occur on April 22, 2024, and investors encouraged by the recent long-awaited ETF approvals, many are speculating on the potential outsized impact this event will have on the price of the digital asset. 

In this article, we will answer the question “what does halving do to Bitcoin price?” explore various factors influencing the BTC price forecast, and provide a comprehensive review of leading Bitcoin price predictions for 2024.

What Will Happen Next Bitcoin Halving?

The Bitcoin halving is an event programmed into the Bitcoin protocol to reduce the block reward (the number of bitcoins awarded to miners for verifying and adding new transactions to the blockchain) by 50% approximately every four years. 

The halving is a deflationary mechanism designed to control the supply of new bitcoins, thereby protecting its value from inflation. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur at block 840,000, around April 22, 2024, with the block reward dropping from 6.25 Bitcoin per block to 3.125 Bitcoin per block.

How Does Halving Affect Bitcoin Price?

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Bitcoin has experienced three halving events since its inception in 2009. Each of these events has had a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin, albeit with varying degrees of magnitude. 

In general, Bitcoin’s price has increased in the months leading up to and following previous halving events, though it is important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

What were the gains after the first bitcoin halving?

First halving (November 28, 2012): The block reward dropped from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. Bitcoin’s price increased from around $12 to over $1,100 within a year of the halving.

What were the gains after the second bitcoin halving?

Second halving (July 9, 2016): The block reward dropped from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC. The price increased from around $650 to nearly $20,000 by the end of 2017.

What were the gains after the third bitcoin halving?

Third halving (May 11, 2020): The block reward dropped from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. Bitcoin’s price surged from around $8,500 to an all-time high of over $67,549 in April 2021.

Considering the historical trend, it is reasonable to assume that the 2024 halving may contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin’s price. However, other factors must also be considered when making Bitcoin price predictions for 2024.

Factors Influencing Bitcoin’s Future Price

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Adoption and Institutional Investment

Widespread adoption and increased institutional investment in Bitcoin can have a profound impact on its price.

As more companies and financial institutions incorporate Bitcoin into their operations and investment portfolios, demand is likely to increase, potentially driving up the price.

This year speculators are anticipating an outsized impact of institutional investment as now for the first time institutions and individuals can invest in Bitcoin using ETFs, massively opening the pool of potential investors.

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Regulatory Environment

The regulatory landscape surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can significantly influence the market. 

Supportive regulations can boost investor confidence, while restrictive regulations can stifle adoption and hinder growth. 

It’s also important to keep an eye on regulatory involvement impacting other cryptocurrencies. If competing cryptocurrencies are ruled securities in the US, this could push capital back towards Bitcoin.

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Technological Developments

The ongoing development and improvement of Bitcoin’s underlying technology can also impact its price. 

Technological advancements that enhance the security, efficiency, and scalability of the Bitcoin network such as the growth of the Lightning Network can attract more users and investors, driving up demand.

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Market Sentiment

Investor sentiment plays a crucial role in determining the price of any asset, including Bitcoin. 

Positive sentiment, often fueled by media coverage and public perception, can lead to price increases, while negative sentiment can have the opposite effect.

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Bitcoin 2024 Price Prediction

Taking into account the historical impact of halving events, as well as the factors mentioned above, we can develop a Bitcoin price prediction for 2024. 

While it is impossible to predict the exact price of Bitcoin with certainty, we can make an educated projection based on available information and trends.

In the months leading up to the 2024 halving, we can expect increased interest in Bitcoin as investors and speculators anticipate the potential impact of the reduced block reward on the cryptocurrency’s price. This heightened attention may contribute to a pre-halving price increase, as has been observed in previous halving events.

Following the halving, the reduced supply of new bitcoins entering the market may create upward pressure on the price if demand remains strong. 

This effect could be amplified if the factors discussed earlier – increased adoption, institutional investment, supportive regulations, technological developments, and positive market sentiment – continue to evolve favorably for Bitcoin.

Taking these factors into account, it is reasonable to predict that the price of Bitcoin could reach new all-time highs in the months and years following the 2024 halving. 

While it is difficult to provide an exact price target, a range of $100,000 to $300,000 per Bitcoin is within the realm of possibility, assuming favorable market conditions and sustained demand.

It is important to note that this Bitcoin price prediction for 2024 is based on current information and trends, and the cryptocurrency market remains inherently volatile and unpredictable. As such, investors should approach any prediction with caution and conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

BTC Price Forecast: Navigating the Post-Halving Landscape in 2024

The latest 2024 Bitcoin price predictions from leading Bitcoin analysts and institutions present a range of scenarios, reflecting the dynamic and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market. Here’s a summary of some recent predictions by key figures in the crypto space:

  • Cathie Wood: In an appearance on CNBC last Thursday, Wood expressed confidence in a bullish scenario, suggesting Bitcoin could soar to $1.5 million by 2030.
  • Messari: Foresees Bitcoin reaching an astounding $600,000​​.
  • VanEck: Predicts Bitcoin could achieve $275,000​​.
  • ETC Group: Expects Bitcoin to slightly exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.
  • Robert Kiyosaki: Predicts Bitcoin reaching $120,000 in 2024.
  • Tim Draper: Initially predicted Bitcoin would reach $250,000 by June 2023, but has adjusted this forecast to possibly 2025​​.
  • Max Keiser: Sets Bitcoin’s potential value at $220,000​​.
  • Fundstrat: Predicts Bitcoin could soar to $180,000 by its 2024 halving​​.
  • Standard Chartered: Estimates Bitcoin hitting $50,000 by the close of 2023 and escalating to $120,000 by the end of 2024​​​​.
  • PlanB: Maintains a prediction for Bitcoin to hit $100,000 in 2024, with a long-term perspective of reaching an average of $532,000​​.

The upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024 presents an exciting opportunity for investors and market watchers alike. While historical trends suggest a potential price increase following the halving, it is crucial to consider the myriad factors that could influence Bitcoin’s future price. 

As with any investment, due diligence and a well-informed strategy are essential for navigating the unpredictable landscape of the cryptocurrency market.

This article does not constitute financial advice. You should be sure to do your research and consult a professional financial advisor before making a major investment decision.

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