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noviembre 9, 2021

Los expertos especulan sobre una larga subida hasta 2022 y predicen BTC en un máximo de 253K$

noviembre 9, 2021

Las altcoins fueron las monedas más activas la semana pesada mientras bitcoin y ethereum se movían hasta consolidar nuevos máximos históricos. Ya que el comportamiento alcista se prolongó, el ex gestor de fondos de cobertura de Goldman Sachs, Raoul Pal, destacó las razones por las que cree posible que la trayectoria alcista actual no acabe hasta 2022. Replicando el sentimiento de Pal, datos de Ecoinometrics también mostraron que bitcoin y ethereum tal vez sigan subiendo hasta los 253,000$ y los 22,000$ respectivamente en el transcurso de los próximos meses.

Por otro lado, XRP está ahora programado para ser integrado con el espacio DeFi de Ethereum y el temido plan de infraestructuras de EEUU ha sido aprobado por la Cámara de los Representantes. 

  • Un antiguo gestor de fondos de cobertura sugiere que la carrera alcista podría extenderse a 2022
  • Datos de halving infieren que bitcoin podría llegar a los 253K$
  • XRP llega a la blockchain de Ethereum como wXRP
  • El plan de infraestructuras estadounidense de 1$ billón con tasa cripto es aprobado por la Cámara de Representantes
  • El FC Barcelona salta al sector NFT

¿La carrera alcista podría continuar hasta 2022?

El ex gestor de fondos de cobertura de Goldman Sachs y fundador de Real Vision, Raoul Pal, especuló la semana pasada que, según él cree, la actual corriente entusiasta en el mercado cripto es muy probable de continuar hasta 2022. 

En una entrevista de Real Vision, Pal admite que él se imagina a la carrera alcista continuar hasta alguna fecha entre marzo y junio de 2022. “Mi suposición es que probablemente tengamos una venta masiva, y luego se rompa de nueva porque es el camino del mayor dolor, y los mercados tienden a tomar el camino de mayor dolor”. Él cree que el camino de mayor sufrimiento podría llegar en diciembre.

En su entrevista, Pal implica que los datos en blockchain sugieren que el movimiento actual en los mercados de criptomonedas no es como los patrones vistos históricamente con los ciclos alcistas de 2015 y 2017. A diferencia de previos ciclos alcistas, los cuales han terminado en diciembre, él cree que el ciclo actual se extenderá debido a catalizadores próximos.

Pal cree que la futura actualización a Ethereum 2.0 y un potencial ETF de ETH serán los dos catalizadores más importantes en el horizonte cercano. “Todo eso significa que probablemente veamos un ciclo extendido, y creo que se extiende hasta entre marzo y junio, y esa sería una nueva fase”. Con los efectos de los ETFs de futuros de bitcoin vistos recientemente, no es inconcebible que un ETF de Ethereum tenga el mismo impacto elevador.

Durante la misma semana, el director de Gestión de Mercados Globales de Goldman Sachs sugirió que Ethereum podría estar en una crecida hacia los 8,000$ sobre los próximos dos meses. Según el informe de ZeroHedge, los analistas de Sachs declaran que la comparación entre el Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index y el USD 2y forward 2y inflation swap muestra que los activos digitales se han intercambiado en paralelo con los límites inflacionarios desde 2019. Aunque no de forma definitiva, los analistas de Goldman creen que la creciente inflación puede potenciar precios más altos para las cripto – particularmente para ethereum.

Comparación entre el precio de Ethereum representado en gráfico logarítmico y el 2Y USD inflation swap

Datos de halving infieren que bitcoin podría alcanzar los 253k$

En adición a la sinopsis de Pal, datos lanzados por Econoimetrics que sugerían que si bitcoin y Ethereum seguían ciclos históricos de halving, el precio de ambos activos digitales podría extenderse hasta los 253,000$ y 22,000$ respectivamente.

Aunque la criptomoneda líder ha visto un crecimiento monumental a través de 2021, puede haber espacio para un crecimiento del 300%. Desde el tercer evento de halving, que tuvo lugar en mayo de 2020, bitcoin ha aumentado en un 7.3x. Aunque resulta impresionante, durante el previo periodo de halving la moneda experimentó un aumento del 29.5x. Esto le colocaría a bitcoin un precio de 253,800$. 

El mismo gráfico también destacó que aunque Ethereum ha experimentado un aumento de 24x, previamente alcanzó los 120x. Un incremento de 120x desde el evento de halving en mayo pondría la moneda en los 22,300$.

Precios actuales de bitcoin y ethereum en comparación con el anterior ciclo de halving

El plan de infraestructuras de 1$ billón con tasa cripto de Biden es aprobado

Un plan de infraestructuras, inicialmente propuesto por la administración del presidente Biden para la mejora del transporte nacional y de la provisión de servicio de internet fue aprobada por la Cámara de Representantes de Estados Unidos la semana pasada. Es importante para la comunidad cripto, ya que el plan también incluye un requerimiento de impuesto cripto para todos los ciudadanos estadounidenses.

Si el presidente Biden lo convierte en ley, el nuevo plan puede dictar que todos los activos digitales que valgan más de 10,000$ tendrán que ser declaradas al Servicio de Impuestos Internos (IRS por sus siglas en inglés).

 Inicialmente ideado para instituciones de bróker más tradicionales, al redacarlo, hubo una pequeña diferenciación en el plan entre los brokers y los desarrolladores de software, validadores, y operadores de nodos que están involucrados en el mantenimiento general de la infraestructura de las criptomonedas. Aunque esa claridad fue demandada por varios miembros del Senado, el plan fue inicialmente aprobado por el Senado el 10 de agosto. La Cámara de Representantes ahora también ha aprobado el plan con una relación de votos de 228-206.

Muchos abogados han expresado dudas sobre el nuevo programa, explicando que aunque el fracaso a la hora de cumplir con ciertas regulaciones fiscales sería considerado un delito grave, cumplir la ley con respecto a activos digitales o NFTs es casi imposible. Después de la próxima firma del presidente, el Departamento del Tesoro determinará por último cómo se interpreta el programa y posteriormente publicará guías para aquellos involucrados.

XRP será añadido a la blockchain de Ethereum

Aunque Ripple, los desarrolladores detrás de XRP, están batallando con la Comisión de Bolsa y Valores de EEUU, tal circunstancia no parece haber frenado el progreso hacia la innovación tecnológica de la compañía. La semana pasada se confirmó que la moneda XRP, nativa de la cadena de XRP, será añadida a la blockchain de Ethereum a través de una versión comprimida – xRP (wrapped XRP).

Wrapped XRP, o wXRP, será anexada a la blockchain de Ethereum en diciembre gracias a una colaboración entre Wrapped.com y HEX Trust. La noticia fue compartida con la comunidad en un tuit de David Schartz, el director de tecnología de Ripple el 1 de noviembre.

“Wrapped XRP está llegando a Ethereum! Buenas noticias para aquellos que quieren acceso a XRP en sus monederos Ethereum, DeFi, y contratos inteligentes. Es una multicadena después de todo”.

El token wXRP será ligado a XRP en un ratio de 1:1. Mientras que seguirá el precio de XRP, wXRP será usado con contratos inteligentes en la blockchain de Ethereum, lo que permitirá a los tenedores de XRP utilizar aplicaciones descentralizadas (dApps). La utilidad y demanda aumentadas serán particularmente ventajosas en el ecosistema de finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi).

El FC Barcelona se une a la carrera NFT

Uno de los clubes de fútbol más prestigiosos del mundo, el FC Barcelona, ha lanzado una nostálgica colección NFT que documenta momentos clave de la historia del equipo. La colección de NFTs consistirán en o bien una imagen o un vídeo corto de un evento destacado en los 122 años de historia del club.

Los NFTs están siendo inicialmente listados para venderse en la plataforma de NFTs con base en Israel, Ownix, y será compatible con la blockchain de Ethereum. Según el reporte del FC Barcelona, el club desea convertirse en un “punto de referencia en este tipo de recién creados activos digitales”.

El presidente del FC Barcelona, Joan Laporta, comentó la noticia durante la semana. “El Barça tiene una base de fans muy grande alrededor del mundo y está liderando el camino en el dominio digital con más de 400 millones de seguidores en redes sociales. Dado este escenario, el Club está constantemente buscando nuevas maneras de conectar con sus fans, y creemos que crear estos NFTs es una oportunidad única para continuar creciendo y consolidando la marca del Barça trayendo momentos únicos que han hecho a los fans del Barça soñar y al FC Barcelona un club bien conocido en todos los niveles”.

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